Future-Centric Leadership Development:
Strategic Foresight & Systems Thinking to Improve Individual & Organizational Outcomes


A DSL Final Project
 
Submitted to the School of Business & Leadership
Regent University
 
In Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements
for the Degree Doctor of Strategic Leadership
 
March 7, 2022



Product: An Electronic Leadership Development Learning Management System (LMS)
Program Title: Future-Centric Leadership Development
Program Subtitle: Using Strategic Foresight & Systems Thinking to Improve Individual and Organizational Outcomes

Abstract: Planning for the future has been largely and erroneously centered around information collected from the past and present. Transformational change requires new ways of thinking — future-centric mindsets. This program, Future-Centric Leadership Development: Strategic Foresight & Systems Thinking to Improve Individual & Organizational Outcomes, is a series of digital content modules geared toward reforming mindsets and deconstructing limiting beliefs to enable and empower the creation of desired futures. The premise is that the future doesn’t have to happen to us; we can design and structure it so that it happens for us.

The program was developed with the heartfelt dual purpose of introducing Strategic Foresight and Systems Thinking, presenting the two as groundbreaking enhancements to development systems, programs, and processes — related to personal and professional development and existing and emerging Leadership Development models. While the mindsets and practices of Strategic Foresight and Systems Thinking are invaluable in every aspect of business (and life), few individuals and organizations currently utilize them, despite the game-changing results they bring.

Nevertheless, this program focuses on the developmental experiences and foreseeable trajectories of individuals and the organizations they serve. The program’s foremost objective is to illuminate and bridge the gap between individuals’ existing complexity of mind (or level of consciousness) and the current complexities of their internal and external environments, which must be aligned if one hopes to survive and thrive in the global VUCA environment. This objective is fulfilled by equipping participants with foundational information in several key areas.  

Leadership

• History

• Approaches (Theory)

• Frameworks

• Assessments
 

Strategic Foresight
 
• Tools & Practices (e.g., Futures Thinking)

• Futures Exploration

• Design Futures

• Strategic Foresight in Leadership Development 

Systems
 
• Systems Dynamics & Systems Thinking
 
• Systems Change & Systems Leadership
 
• Leadership Operating Systems


Leadership Development Models

• The Full Range Leadership Development Model (FRLD)

• The Universal Model of Leadership (UML)



The purpose is to plant seeds of transformational change, tilling the soil by bringing a broad awareness of Strategic Foresight and Systems Thinking, and how to enact them. Secondarily, the program emphasizes that Leadership Development systems and processes can and must be designed or redesigned such that individuals’ consciousness or existing structure of mind — internal operating system — is stimulated to evolve progressively and adapt fluidly, ahead of, or at least in tandem with, the ever-in-flux environmental complexities.

By integrating Strategic Foresight and Systems Thinking with personal and Leadership Development, we are empowered to zoom out to the systems level, to see “the big picture,” identify improvement opportunities, find leverage points to tweak, and perceive how the system will likely respond to change. In other words, we can see the causes and effects — the reinforcing and balancing loops of reciprocal causality — to identify issues, determine which changes will bring the most value, and distinguish the potentially costliest non-actions or ineffective actions. Anyone seeking to grow themselves or others may create desired futures using this holistic, future-centric approach, having these newfound insights regarding how to foresee and generate positive transformational change and its astonishing results.

The program advocates that Strategic Foresight mindsets, tools, and practices with Systems Thinking can be overlaid upon existing Leadership Development models or woven into the design and structure of emerging models to enable the envisioning of alternative futures and the creation of desired futures. The program hypothesizes that integrating Strategic Foresight and Systems Thinking can take personal and Leadership Development to new levels, with measurable improvements, using the FRLD model, the UML, and the program author’s self-assessment results as a case study. The intention is to conduct further research to challenge the program’s position — by experimentation with additional cases, conducting seminars and workshops, and administering pre- and post-program 360-degree leadership assessments — and identify and fill any gaps discovered with the FRLD and the UML models during the process.

COURSE OFFERINGS (SAMPLE)

Intro to Leadership - Fundamental information introducing learners to the discipline of Leadership, its origin, key definitions, and conceptual elements. Learners understand the value of leadership and the foundational components of leadership as a system.

Leadership Frameworks - Fundamental information introducing learners to the makeup of leadership and 11 leadership theories categorized into three clusters: (1) Trait, Skills, Behavioral, and Psychodynamic; (2) Situational, Adaptive, Path-Goal, and Leader-Member Exchange; and (3) Authentic, Servant, and Transformational leadership.

Intro to Strategic Foresight -  Fundamental information introducing learners to the discipline of Strategic Foresight, its major components, some easy-to-use practices and tools, and some of Strategic Foresight’s most closely related disciplines, including Futures Exploration and Design.

Strategic Foresight in Leadership Development - A series of unscripted conversations with three field experts to challenge program assumptions and test the temperature of its assertions (i.e., We can improve outcomes at the individual and organizational levels and shorten the timespans involved in reaching development and performance goals by integrating Strategic Foresight practices, tools, and mindsets into Leadership Development systems, programs, and processes).

Intro to Systems - Fundamental information introducing learners to Systems and several of its facets (i.e., Systems Dynamics, Systems Thinking, Systems Design, and Design Thinking) with discussion around the importance of innovation and its effects on systems change.

Leadership as a System - Fundamental information framing Leadership as a System and reiterating some key information from earlier modules.

Leadership Development Models - Fundamental information introducing learners to the Full Range Leadership Development model and the Universal Model of Leadership, reiterating some key information from earlier modules, and briefly discussing the stages of human development and their interrelatedness to both models.

Connecting the Dots: Future-Centric Leadership Development - A summarization of the connections between the 11 leadership theories and two leadership development models covered in earlier modules including a description and several graphical renditions of the value of Strategic Foresight and Systems Thinking in Leadership Development.